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D2. Socialism
Iran’s “bleak scenario”
When we speak of a revolution’s failure, we usually mean that it did not fulfill its stated aims. In the case of Iran’s 1979 revolution, however, the failure runs far deeper. That revolution not only failed to achieve its declared objectives; it failed in the most profound sense. It brought to power a force even more reactionary than the one it overthrew. What occurred was not simply a transfer of power but a historical regression whose consequences endure to this day. This regression extended beyond politics into the social and cultural fabric and even reshaped the intellectual horizons of society, setting the trajectory of development sharply backward.
It is within this context that the discussion of the “bleak scenario” versus the “bright scenario” acquires meaning. This distinction does not stem from naïve optimism about revolutionary processes, but from a concrete historical concern. In classical—and, to some extent, ideological—communist theory, political change is typically imagined as a revolutionary process in which the working class and organized popular forces seize power from the bourgeoisie to establish a new order. This vision presupposes a minimum level of social organization, continuity of production, and the capacity for political reconstruction. In other words, even amid revolution, it assumes that society does not disintegrate entirely and that the essential foundations for rebuilding remain intact.
A coherent state in the conventional sense has never fully taken shape within the Islamic regime. What exists instead is a constellation of rival power factions.The realities of Iranian society under the Islamic regime cast doubt on such assumptions. The systematic and often brutal destruction of every form of independent organization has rendered such social structuring practically impossible. For nearly five decades, the regime has crushed collective organization with extraordinary severity: dismantling political parties, dissolving councils, erasing labor unions, and imprisoning anyone who attempted to organize. Under such conditions, the idea of a coherent, conscious transfer of power to emancipatory forces seems less a political possibility than an expression of hope divorced from reality.
At the same time, Iranian society is caught in a structural deadlock. The Islamic Republic has reached a point where it can neither retreat nor advance. There is no clear horizon for resolving its intertwined economic, political, and social crises. Structural reform has become unfeasible, yet maintaining the status quo demands ever-deeper repression. This stalemate creates a situation where social explosions are always possible, but the organizational capacity to direct them is extremely weak—if not entirely absent. This tension between an explosive potential and the absence of conscious direction forms the primary foundation of the “bleak scenario.”
Moreover, the very structure of the Islamic regime has evolved into a permanent source of instability. From its inception, the system has been anchored in an apocalyptic religious ideology that has shaped not only politics but also economic life, culture, and foreign policy. This ideology, animated by a self-ascribed historical mission, transcends the rational logic of a modern state. Decision-making, therefore, has been guided not by functional necessities but by ideological and security imperatives. (I have increasingly come to believe that the Islamic regime does not perceive itself as a conventional state. Instead, it acts as a marginal, semi-insurgent force with nothing to lose—resembling groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah, or Hashd al-Shaabi. Interestingly, Putin once referred to it in similar terms as a “rogue” entity.)
Continuous repression has destroyed parties and civil institutions, creating an ever-wider gulf between society and the state.Over the following decades, segments of the ruling establishment began to recognize this contradiction. They understood that governing a complex society in the 21st century through rigid, theological instruments was unsustainable. Attempts were made—under banners such as “reconstruction” and “reform”—to adjust the system, yet always within the same ideological limits. Each time demands for change surfaced, core power centers and autonomous hardline networks blocked them. Thus emerged a dual reality: the necessity of change, and the structural impossibility of realizing it from within. The result has been the cumulative deepening of crises and a progressive erosion of governing capacity.
Consequently, a coherent state in the conventional sense has never fully taken shape within the Islamic regime. What exists instead is a constellation of rival power factions, shifting with each presidential administration, each seeking to consolidate its own position and privileges. These are not merely political rivals, but entrenched networks embedded across institutions. With each change at the top, these networks are reshuffled while the underlying logic persists. Each faction strives to expand its grip over resources—from state contracts to financial assets. Over time, this dynamic has produced a rentier, predatory political economy. Economic decisions serve factional interests, not societal needs. Development projects function primarily as mechanisms for distributing rents. Public wealth is systematically siphoned into private networks—oil rigs can vanish overnight. In such an environment, long-term planning becomes meaningless. Even at managerial levels, instability reigns: each political shift brings sweeping replacements, erasing institutional memory and undermining policy continuity.
A transition beyond the Islamic Republic will not, by necessity, produce a more progressive or stable order—though such a future remains possible and desirable.The real danger becomes evident when this exhausted structure faces an acute crisis. The same factions now competing over resources may become the drivers of the “bleak scenario” during collapse. Importantly, this scenario is not chiefly produced by opposition groups. While external opposition may play a role, the core threat stems from forces currently inside the system. Each network, in its bid for survival, may resort to violence—some through direct repression, others through paramilitary or localized armed groups. In such conditions, rivalry over resources may evolve into open conflict. Past experiences—the brutal crackdowns of January 2018 and November 2019, and the regime’s intervention in Syria—show that the ruling establishment recognizes no limits when it comes to violence. This violence is not merely reactive but intrinsic to its mode of survival. When real solutions are unavailable, repression becomes the only remaining tool—not to resolve crises, but to buy time. Yet this delay yields nothing: there is neither a strategy for exit nor the will for transformation. Each new wave of repression only deepens the crisis and moves society closer to explosion.
For this reason, whether in the context of external war or mass protest, the risk of widespread violence is very real. The ruling factions see themselves as the rightful owners of the country—and particularly its wealth—and perceive no viable path toward relinquishing power or achieving peaceful transition. Meanwhile, a society deprived of organization and intermediary institutions lacks the means to manage a complex transition. Continuous repression has destroyed parties and civil institutions, creating an ever-wider gulf between society and the state. In such conditions, large-scale protests risk encountering both extreme violence and the absence of structures capable of guiding them. This volatile mix is what makes the “bleak scenario” genuinely possible. At the regional level, the Islamic Republic’s close ties to aligned militant groups only heighten this risk, allowing domestic crises to escalate and spill beyond borders.
The central question … is how to carve out a … path amid this dark horizon … that neither rests on revolutionary illusions nor surrenders to the existing order.Thus, discussing the “bleak scenario” is not an abstract exercise but a sober warning. It underscores that a transition beyond the Islamic Republic will not, by necessity, produce a more progressive or stable order—though such a future remains possible and desirable. The immediate aftermath may involve instability, violence, or even social fragmentation. Yet this is not a historical dead end. Eventually, society will be compelled to move beyond it. The crucial point is that this transition—whether imminent or delayed—will inevitably carry immense tension and cost. The current structure is incapable of stepping aside or yielding peacefully. The longer the transition is postponed, the deeper and more destructive the coming crisis is likely to be. Hence, the issue is not one of when, but of how—of the quality and character of that transition.
The central question now is how to carve out a genuine path amid this dark horizon—a path that neither rests on revolutionary illusions nor surrenders to the existing order. A path that, even under these harsh conditions, can nurture organization, solidarity, and conscious agency. Addressing this question demands further analysis, which I hope to undertake in a future piece.
Opinions expressed in signed articles do not necessarily represent the views of the editors or the Tempest Collective. For more information, see “About Tempest Collective.”Featured Image credit: Khamenei.ir; modified by Tempest.
The post Iran’s “bleak scenario” appeared first on Tempest.
The cause of labor is the hope of the world
This May Day will come after nearly sixteen months of authoritarian rule marked by brutal domestic and global violence.
At home, the state has deployed terror against the most vulnerable members of the working class—our immigrant neighbors—and anti-ICE protesters.
World politics has entered a new era with the illegal and unconstitutional U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. The ongoing war is yet another morbid symptom of the late American empire. Conscious of its declining power and driven by a lunatic narcissism reminiscent of Caligula or Nero, the Trump administration seeks to demonstrate its virility through violence. The war’s horror is only matched by its absurdity, as it becomes increasingly clear how little the U.S. state thought through the consequences of their reckless actions.
This disastrous war is a great setback for the regime. But as Trump and company become weaker, they also become more volatile and dangerous.
With Trump’s approval ratings sinking and likely to fall lower given the shock to the economy, the midterm elections pose an existential threat to his administration. The likelihood of a manufactured crisis being used as a pretext to destroy democratic rights looks increasingly probable.
In the face of war and authoritarianism, most workers realize we must act to stop this regime, and many are looking for alternative political strategies.
Building the resistanceThe resistance in Minneapolis, culminating in mass strikes at the end of January, gave us a glimpse of potential working-class power.
The question is how to transform broad yet diffuse opposition to Trumpism into the kind of organized labor action that can take powerful and decisive action against the regime.
We have seen resistance in varied spaces, from mass protests like No Kings to neighborhood networks to community and labor activism. While all these play a role, unions are of particular importance because they remain the one organized section of the working class with mass numbers, even while unionization levels are low. Organized labor’s reawakening to politics, uneven and contradictory as it may be, represents a significant breach in the post-war consensus that has dominated the movement for the better part of a century.
The resistance in Minneapolis, culminating in mass strikes at the end of January, gave us a glimpse of potential working-class power.The primary task for activists is to enter all these arenas and help build them out into democratic infrastructures of dissent, spaces and networks where we can further discover our strength as workers. We want to build a left-moving pole of attraction based on class independence, broad democratic decision-making and collective action.
Building these structures is a precondition for resisting the threat of authoritarianism and the entire right-wing political system, and for articulating firm political demands that resist co-optation by the Democratic Party.
The labor-led coalition May Day Strong offers a potential alternative to politics as usual, one that reawakens a long-neglected tradition of political working-class activity and, especially, an orientation on strikes—the only weapon available to us with the power to stop the regime.
Ironically, the authoritarian onslaught is spurring organized labor to reconnect with its power and its ability to change the world.
Towards a general strikeThe call for this May Day, “Workers over Billionaires: No Work, No School, No Shopping,” connects with a powerful radical tradition based on independent working-class power. Although its origins are in the United States, International Workers’ Day has largely been a forgotten holiday here. This is not an accident but a result of the deeply anti-worker and anti-socialist nature of the U.S. state, which has actively divorced organized labor from projects against capitalism and for universal human liberation.
Small groups cannot will a general strike in to being, and verbal radicalism cannot substitute for sustained organizing.This May Day marks an important moment in the process of rejoining labor to its unique ability to fundamentally transform society. The violent and tyrannical capitalist system gave birth to Trumpism and has worse horrors in store if we do not alter its course. Our labor creates and recreates this system, but by refusing to work, we can shut it down.
While we have seen some significant May Days in recent history, most notably the 2006 “Day Without an Immigrant,” this May 1st promises to be a celebration of working-class strength like nothing we have seen in decades. Spearheaded by the Chicago Teachers Union, the May Day Strong Coalition is organizing major unions to turn out for this holiday in a way not seen in living memory. Some strikes have even been called against the Trump administration’s policies, including a shutdown of all the ports on the West Coast, from Alaska to San Diego.
It is crucial that we maintain our independence from the bankrupt two-party system and build our own numbers and power from below.But we are also seeing attempts by conservative forces— Indivisible, the NGO bureaucracy and labor officialdom—to steer all the energy of the anti-Trump resistance back into efforts to elect the Democratic Party. We cannot entrust our precious rights to the very people who got us into this mess in the first place and who have waged no substantive opposition to the far right. Their aim is to restore the bankrupt status quo that germinated Trump. Regardless of what we do at the ballot box, when it comes to organizing, it is crucial that we maintain our independence from the bankrupt two-party system and build our own numbers and power from below.
The symbolic and practical significance of reclaiming May Day in these ways is hard to overstate.
The tasks of the momentMay Day will highlight the potential of working-class power to resist war and authoritarianism while resurrecting a radical labor tradition. But the prospect of mass political strikes that pose a tangible threat to the economic order remains distant.
We still have low levels of workplace organization, in terms of both formal unionization and informal activity. In the current climate calls for general strikes will be hollow if they are not backed up by mass collective organization, disciplined preparation, education and training. Small groups cannot will a general strike in to being, and verbal radicalism cannot substitute for sustained organizing.
This May Day and beyond presents the opportunity to foster our collective strength and become strike-ready. We do this through collective activities such as attending protests as a contingent with T-shirts and banners, pursuing workplace grievances, launching union drives, holding strike schools and forming rank and file groups prepared to push for radical action even in the face of reluctant union officials.
We can only unite as a class if we challenge all the oppressions our rulers use to divide us.We can only unite as a class if we challenge all the oppressions our rulers use to divide us. If we are to uphold the great slogan of the labor movement, “An injury to one is an injury to all,” we must defend anyone who is under attack without exception. This includes forming emergency defense networks against ICE raids, standing with survivors of sexual violence, and advocating for trans rights, reproductive rights, Palestinian liberation and more.
These are the conditions in which we can build grounded socialist organizations that offer a genuine alternative.
Trumpism cannot be stopped with a vote or a promise. We must rip up its very roots by challenging the capitalist system that created it. There are no short cuts to this goal, but the keywords are organization, political independence, and working-class power.
Opinions expressed in signed articles do not necessarily represent the views of the editors or the Tempest Collective. For more information, see “About Tempest Collective.”
Featured Image credit: Walter Crane, Walter Crane; modified by Tempest.
The post The cause of labor is the hope of the world appeared first on Tempest.
Slot Resmi Gacor Hari Ini dengan Jackpot Menggiurkan
Dalam beberapa tahun terakhir, pemain beralih dari platform tidak jelas menuju layanan slot resmi. Mereka mencari keamanan data, keadilan permainan, serta kepastian sistem. Operator pun merespons tren ini dengan meningkatkan teknologi dan standar operasional.
Pengalaman Pengguna Jadi PrioritasBanyak platform slot resmi kini berfokus pada pengalaman pengguna. Mereka mengembangkan antarmuka yang intuitif, responsif di berbagai perangkat, dan mendukung transaksi cepat. Pengguna dapat mengakses permainan melalui smartphone tanpa hambatan berarti.
Selain itu, sistem navigasi dibuat lebih sederhana. Pemain bisa langsung memilih jenis permainan, melihat riwayat transaksi, hingga mengatur batas permainan. Pendekatan ini menunjukkan bahwa operator memahami perilaku digital modern yang menuntut efisiensi.
Sistem RNG dan Transparansi TeknisSlot resmi menggunakan teknologi Random Number Generator (RNG) untuk memastikan hasil permainan tetap acak dan adil. Sistem ini bekerja secara algoritmik dan telah melewati pengujian dari lembaga independen.
Beberapa platform bahkan mempublikasikan Return to Player (RTP) sebagai bentuk transparansi. RTP memberi gambaran persentase kemenangan dalam jangka panjang. Walau tidak menjamin hasil instan, data ini membantu pemain membuat keputusan yang lebih rasional.
Regulasi dan Legalitas Jadi PembedaKeunggulan utama slot resmi terletak pada aspek legalitas. Platform yang beroperasi secara resmi biasanya memiliki lisensi dari otoritas tertentu. Lisensi ini menuntut mereka untuk mengikuti standar keamanan, audit rutin, dan perlindungan pengguna.
Regulasi juga memaksa operator menjaga integritas sistem. Mereka harus menyediakan enkripsi data, metode pembayaran aman, serta mekanisme penyelesaian sengketa. Hal ini menciptakan ekosistem yang lebih sehat dibandingkan layanan ilegal.
Kepercayaan Dibangun dari KonsistensiKepercayaan pengguna tidak muncul secara instan. Platform slot resmi harus menjaga konsistensi layanan, mulai dari kecepatan transaksi hingga kualitas dukungan pelanggan. Ketika pengguna merasa aman dan dihargai, loyalitas akan terbentuk secara alami.
Kesimpulan
Slot resmi telah berkembang menjadi bagian dari ekosistem hiburan digital yang lebih terstruktur dan profesional. Dengan dukungan teknologi, regulasi, serta fokus pada pengguna, platform ini menawarkan pengalaman yang lebih aman dan transparan.
SexyGeming Jadi Sorotan, Gaya Berani yang Bikin Gamer Penasaran
termasuk dalam sektor hiburan daring seperti SEXYGEMING. Dalam beberapa tahun terakhir, tren ini menunjukkan peningkatan signifikan, didorong oleh kemajuan teknologi serta perubahan perilaku pengguna yang semakin mengutamakan kecepatan dan keamanan dalam mengakses layanan.
Berdasarkan pengamatan di lapangan, para pemain kini tidak lagi hanya mencari hiburan semata. Mereka mulai selektif dalam memilih platform yang mampu memberikan pengalaman stabil, respons cepat, dan perlindungan data yang terjamin. Hal ini menjadi faktor penting yang mendorong kompetisi antar penyedia layanan semakin ketat.
Dari sisi, banyak pengguna mengaku lebih nyaman menggunakan platform yang memiliki tampilan sederhana namun responsif. Akses yang cepat tanpa hambatan teknis menjadi nilai tambah utama. Selain itu, fitur navigasi yang jelas membantu pemain menghemat waktu saat mencari permainan favorit mereka.
Dalam aspek, para pengembang platform SEXYGEMING terus berinovasi dengan menghadirkan sistem yang lebih canggih. Mereka memanfaatkan teknologi enkripsi serta optimalisasi server agar mampu menangani lonjakan pengguna tanpa mengorbankan performa. Keahlian ini terlihat dari kemampuan platform dalam menjaga kestabilan layanan, bahkan saat jam sibuk.
Sementara itu, juga semakin terlihat melalui kehadiran platform-platform yang telah dikenal luas oleh komunitas pemain. Reputasi yang baik biasanya dibangun dari konsistensi layanan, transparansi sistem, serta dukungan pelanggan yang responsif. Pemain cenderung memilih layanan yang sudah memiliki rekam jejak jelas dibandingkan yang belum terbukti.
Di sisi lain, faktor menjadi kunci utama dalam pertumbuhan industri ini. Pemain kini lebih waspada terhadap risiko keamanan digital. Oleh karena itu, mereka lebih memilih platform yang menyediakan sistem perlindungan data, metode transaksi aman, serta kebijakan privasi yang transparan. Kepercayaan ini tidak terbentuk secara instan, melainkan melalui pengalaman penggunaan yang positif secara berkelanjutan.
Menariknya, tren terbaru menunjukkan bahwa akses melalui perangkat mobile semakin mendominasi. Kemudahan bermain kapan saja dan di mana saja membuat pemain lebih aktif. Hal ini mendorong penyedia layanan untuk terus mengoptimalkan versi mobile agar tetap ringan, cepat, dan aman digunakan.
Dengan semua perkembangan ini, industri SEXYGEMING diprediksi akan terus tumbuh dalam beberapa tahun ke depan. Namun, pemain tetap perlu bijak dalam memilih platform. Akses cepat memang penting, tetapi keamanan dan kepercayaan harus tetap menjadi prioritas utama.
Sebagai penutup, perubahan perilaku pemain telah mendorong industri ini ke arah yang lebih profesional dan kompetitif. Platform yang mampu menjawab kebutuhan akan kecepatan dan keamanan akan bertahan, sementara yang tidak mampu beradaptasi perlahan akan ditinggalkan.
Angka Keberuntungan dan Analisa dalam Togel
Jika sebelumnya aktivitas ini dilakukan secara konvensional, kini kehadiran platform digital membuat semuanya terasa lebih cepat, praktis, dan mudah diakses kapan saja.
Fenomena ini berkembang seiring meningkatnya penetrasi internet dan penggunaan smartphone. Banyak pengguna kini beralih ke sistem online karena dinilai lebih efisien. Hanya dengan beberapa langkah sederhana, pemain sudah bisa mengakses layanan tanpa batas ruang dan waktu. Hal ini menciptakan perubahan perilaku yang cukup signifikan di kalangan pengguna digital.
Pengguna yang Semakin Modern dan PraktisBerdasarkan berbagai pengguna, platform togel digital menawarkan kemudahan yang tidak bisa ditemukan pada sistem lama. Proses registrasi kini berlangsung cepat dan tidak berbelit. Pengguna hanya perlu mengisi data dasar, lalu akun bisa langsung digunakan.
navigasi sistem terasa mudah dipahami. Selain itu, layanan pelanggan biasanya tersedia selama 24 jam, sehingga pengguna bisa mendapatkan bantuan kapan saja saat dibutuhkan.
Tidak hanya itu, kecepatan transaksi menjadi salah satu keunggulan utama. Deposit dan penarikan dana dapat diproses dalam waktu singkat. Inilah yang membuat banyak pengguna merasa lebih nyaman dan memilih beralih ke platform digital.
Peran Teknologi dalam Meningkatkan SistemDi balik kemudahan tersebut, teknologi memegang peranan penting. Platform modern kini menggunakan sistem keamanan berlapis untuk melindungi data pengguna. Enkripsi tingkat tinggi menjadi standar utama dalam menjaga informasi pribadi tetap aman.
Selain itu, beberapa platform juga mulai mengadopsi sistem berbasis algoritma untuk memastikan transparansi. Teknologi ini membantu meningkatkan akurasi sistem serta mengurangi potensi kesalahan.
Penggunaan server yang stabil juga menjadi faktor pendukung. Dengan sistem yang kuat, gangguan teknis dapat diminimalisir sehingga pengguna bisa menikmati layanan tanpa hambatan berarti.
Kredibilitas Platform Menjadi Faktor PenentuSeiring meningkatnya jumlah platform yang tersedia, pengguna dituntut untuk lebih selektif dalam memilih layanan. Kredibilitas menjadi faktor utama yang harus diperhatikan. Platform yang terpercaya biasanya memiliki sistem yang transparan, informasi yang jelas, serta layanan yang konsisten.
Selain itu, reputasi juga berperan penting. Platform yang sudah dikenal luas cenderung memiliki standar operasional yang lebih baik. Hal ini memberikan rasa aman bagi pengguna dalam menjalankan aktivitasnya.
Pengamat industri digital menilai bahwa kepercayaan pengguna tidak dibangun secara instan. Dibutuhkan konsistensi layanan, kualitas sistem, serta komunikasi yang baik untuk mempertahankan reputasi di tengah persaingan yang ketat.
Perubahan Pola Perilaku di Era DigitalTransformasi digital tidak hanya mengubah sistem, tetapi juga memengaruhi pola perilaku pengguna. Akses yang mudah membuat aktivitas ini menjadi lebih cepat dan intens.
Di sisi lain, kemajuan teknologi juga membuka peluang untuk edukasi digital. Pengguna kini memiliki akses luas terhadap informasi.
PenutupTogel digital telah berkembang menjadi bagian dari ekosistem hiburan modern yang menawarkan kemudahan dan kecepatan.
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